Is Android unstoppable?
By Vlad Bobleanta on 03 Aug 10
Canalys have published their quarterly report on the mobile market yesterday, this time focusing on the second quarter of this year. Statistics from other research companies such as IDG and Gartner, and even those from phone makers themselves can and probably will be different from these. That’s just how it always is. The following quick analysis is based solely on the numbers from Canalys, please keep that in mind. Also do understand that these numbers reflect global market shares.
What the numbers say
Symbian has been losing a bit here, a percentage point there for years, so that’s no surprise. Nokia have delayed Symbian development by about a year with their “strategic” move of buying Symbian Ltd. and open-sourcing the OS under the newfound Symbian Foundation umbrella. A move they thought would bring in good PR and lower their development costs (if other companies started heavily contributing code to Symbian).
None of those things happened.
And the first Symbian^3 device is expected in September. Of 2010. When the high-end of Nokia’s lineup should have already been running Symbian^4, the ‘big’ upcoming release, that features a completely redesigned UI. We should have been seeing Symbian^3 only on midrange smartphones right about now, instead those still get Symbian^1 (the nicer name for S60 5th Edition). Which is an OS version that launched with the Nokia 5800, almost two years ago, in November of 2008.
As I said before, a full year wasted. So when you see the N8, please don’t compare it to today’s smartphones from the competition. No, instead imagine it was released a year ago. Because it should have been.
For the next year, I don’t see any big improvements in Symbian’s situation. Market share will probably continue to drop little by little. We need to have Symbian^4 devices (note the plural) on the market and Symbian^1 devices not on the market anymore before we can talk of a possible reversal of that trend.